Archive for September 12, 2014

Demystifying Recourse vs. Non-Recourse | LinkedIn.

This question came across my desk yesterday morning: “We’re taking this (commercial) property in X entity and the broker asked me if I need non-recourse financing. What should I tell them?”

This is a great question because 1. it gives us a chance to talk about the creative financing ecosystem without the pressure of a deal bearing down on us and 2. it highlights a question I think a lot of investor owner/operators have about real estate finance. Here’s a paraphrased version of what I shared with him:

Definition: “Non-recourse” means that the bank is entitled to repayment from the profits of the project only. “Recourse” means the bank has the right to repayment from the assets of the borrower if the project doesn’t perform.

As a commercial investment banker, I start every thought involving “recourse” or “non-recourse” with the idea that the borrower needs to be successful. If a borrower’s project fails, then we fail. We need to return to whatever our funding sources are and explain to them why and how we lost their money. That is not good for business, so we take precautions to ensure it doesn’t happen – or when it does, that we can make our funding sources whole again.

Bankers also want, to the extent possible, what’s called “alignment of interest.” Simply put, this means we share the risk and reward.

With these two principles in mind, each financing scenario is unique. Management team experience varies. Markets vary. Security for the loan varies. Terms are negotiated.

Typically, the borrower asks for non-recourse in all scenarios. They perceive that it lowers their personal exposure to risk. The bank may insist upon recourse under some conditions.

If a project fails, the bank needs the option to control assets to try and stop a hemorrhage. Bankers owe it to their funding sources to do everything possible to keep them whole.

The question about the use of non-recourse vs recourse is complicated a little when entities are involved. We add the condition of who or what the bank has a recourse relationship with: the entity or an individual or individuals within the entity.

If an entity is structured as mine are, it may not own anything by itself – or it may be a special purpose entity, owning only one of a portfolio of projects controlled by an individual(s), entity, or trust. If the entity owns nothing beyond the failed project – then going after an entity is a waste of time. If recourse is tied to an individual, the bank might try working with the entity, then go after individual’s assets once it realizes that the entity has nothing to offer that will remedy the situation.

Non-recourse makes sense when the capital outlay is too big for any individual to cover. If a borrower wants $400 mm, for example, it’s not likely that the borrower or the team of borrowers is going to have that kind of money lying around in assets that can be used to recover from a failure. The only way to mitigate losses is to install new management or a execute a speedy exit.

Similarly, if the loan period is long, ownership may change – or if revenue streams fluctuate or are inconsistent, non-recourse may be the way to go. Remember: banks don’t want borrowers to fail, so putting undue pressure on operations or killing exit strategy options isn’t appealing.

To answer a specific question about whether or not to use non-recourse, a banker would need more specifics. They need to know the strength and track record of the general partnership, sources and uses of all funds in the deal, size of the deal, status of the market, soundness of the plan, the exit strategy, etc.

If you understand the motivation a banker has – to structure away the risk in deals and do everything possible to help it succeed – the next discussion you have with your banker might be earlier in the deal process and sound more like a mutually beneficial partnership. I always try to encourage owners / operators and brokers to connect early and keep communication lines open. When the relationship works, money flows and deals get closed.

If you or someone you know has a commercial real estate deal in the making and would like to talk with a commercial real estate investment banker, reach out to us through our Web site at http://MLCcapitalpartners.com. We have a 24 hour rule for responding to your inquiries and would be happy to get to know you better.

Inflation is Percolating Throughout the Financial System | Zero Hedge.

Inflation is Percolating Throughout the Financial System

Phoenix Capital Research's picture

Since the Financial Crisis erupted in 2007, the US Federal Reserve has engaged in dozens of interventions/ bailouts to try and prop up the financial system. Now, we realize that everyone knows the Fed is “printing money.” However, when you look at the list of bailouts/ money pumps it’s absolutely staggering how much money the Fed has thrown around.

Here’s a recap of some of the larger Fed moves during the Crisis:

  • Cutting interest rates from 5.25-0.25% (Sept ’07-today).
  • The Bear Stearns deal/ taking on $30 billion in junk mortgages (Mar ’08).
  • Opening various lending windows to investment banks (Mar ’08).
  • Hank Paulson spends $400 billion on Fannie/ Freddie (Sept ’08).
  • The Fed takes over insurance company AIG for $85 billion (Sept ’08).
  • The Fed doles out $25 billion for the automakers (Sept ’08)
  • The Fed kicks off the $700 billion TARP program (Oct ’08)
  • The Fed buys commercial paper from non-financial firms (Oct ’08)
  • The Fed offers $540 billion to backstop money market funds (Oct ’08)
  • The Fed agrees to back up to $280 billion of Citigroup’s liabilities (Oct ’08).
  • $40 billion more to AIG (Nov ’08)
  • The Fed backstops $140 billion of Bank of America’s liabilities (Jan ’09)
  • Obama’s $787 Billion Stimulus (Jan ’09)
  • QE 1 buys $1.25 trillion in Treasuries and mortgage debt (March ’09)
  • QE lite buys $200-300 billion of Treasuries and mortgage debt (Aug ’10)
  • QE 2 buys $600 billion in Treasuries (Nov ’10)
  • Operation Twist reshuffles $400 billion of the Fed’s portfolio (Oct ’11)
  • QE 3 buys $40 billion of Mortgage Backed Securities monthly (Sept ‘12)
  • QE 4 buys $45 billion worth of Treasuries monthly (Dec ’12)
  • Fed tapering begins (November 2013).

The Fed is not the only one. Collectively, the world’s Central Banks have pumped over $10 trillion into the financial system since 2007. This money printing has resulted in a massive expansion of Central Bank balance sheets… and unleashed inflation in the financial system. In the emerging markets, where consumers can spend as much as 50% of their income, this has resulted in food riots and even revolutions as we saw with the Arab Spring in 2011.

This situation is far from over. Higher food prices continue to be a source of civil unrest throughout the emerging market space. Recently Saudi Arabia banned the exporting of poultry to halt prices, which rose by as much as 40%:

Saudi Arabia has banned the export of chickens in an attempt to curb an online public campaign to boycott poultry consumption due to high prices.

The Saudi Ministry of Commerce and Industry decided Wednesday to halt the export of chicken until the domestic market is stabilized, Emirates 24/7 reported.

The decision followed a campaign launched by Saudis on Twitter to boycott buying and eating chicken in the country whenprices for poultry rose 30-40 percent, the Financial Times reported.

http://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2012/10/05/Saudi-bans-chicken-export-after-price-hike/UPI-46681349468924/#ixzz2JIyjOaEB

In the US, a series of droughts and biofuel policies have resulted in corn prices skyrocketing. This has crushed some Latin American markets such as Guatemala:

In the tiny tortillerias of this city, people complain ceaselessly about the high price of corn. Just three years ago, one quetzal — about 15 cents — bought eight tortillas; today it buys only fourAnd eggs have tripled in price because chickens eat corn feed…

In a globalized world, the expansion of the biofuels industry has contributed to spikes in food prices and a shortage of land for food-based agriculture in poor corners of Asia, Africa and Latin America because the raw material is grown wherever it is cheapest.

Nowhere, perhaps, is that squeeze more obvious than in Guatemala… With its corn-based diet and proximity to the United States, Central America has long been vulnerable to economic riptides related to the United States’ corn policy. Now that the United States is using 40 percent of its crop to make biofuel, it is not surprising that tortilla prices have doubled in Guatemala, which imports nearly half of its corn.

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/06/science/earth/in-fields-and-markets-guatemalans-feel-squeeze-of-biofuel-demand.html?hp&_r=1&

As the cost of living increases around the globe, wage protests and strikes have become commonplace, particularly in the emerging market space:

South Africa – A total of 26 people were arrested overnight in connection with farmworkers’ protests for higher wages, Western Cape police said on Wednesday.

At least 180 people had been arrested in connection with the protests since Wednesday last week…

http://www.iol.co.za/business/business-news/more-arrests-in-farm-wage-protests-1.1453090#.UQbnCo7pRgM

IndonesiaThousands of workers took to the city’s main thoroughfares on Wednesday to protest delays in the increased minimum wage and hikes in electricity rates.

The workers from industrial areas in Bekasi, Bogor, Depok, Jakarta and Karawang belonging to the Indonesian Metal Workers Federation (FSPMI), the All-Indonesia Workers Union (KSPSI) and the Indonesian Workers Assembly (MPBI), demanded that Governor Joko “Jokowi” Widodo instruct companies to immediately comply with the 44 percent raise of the provincial minimum wage to Rp 2.2 million (US$228) for 2013.

http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2013/01/17/workers-protest-against-minimum-wage-delays.html

China-Sanitation workers’ salaries will be increased by 10 percent this year in

Guangzhou, the capital of South China’s Guangdong province, following

recent protests demanding higher pay…

“The salary of sanitation workers will be increased by 10 percent this year and the government will also boost other subsidies, for example, housing allowances,” Huang said…

Guangzhou has an estimated 38,840 sanitation workers, who earn an average of about 1,300 yuan ($209) a month, almost equal to the city’s minimum wage.

http://www.china.org.cn/china/2013-01/22/content_27756710.htm

Germany-Germany’s major public services trade union Verdi had called for a daylong strike on Friday at Hamburg Airport, impeding security operations and delaying flights as passengers struggled to get to their gates.

The union is calling for an hourly wage of 14.50 euros for its members, who currently earn 11.80 euros per hour.

Only one of 20 security checkpoints had opened, with approximately 95 percent of the passenger security-check staff walking off the job.

http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2013/01/20/284554/german-airport-workers-go-on-strike/

In the US, we are now seeing talk of raising the minimum wages. McDonalds workers are staging wage protests. And 40% of lower and middle class Americans use credit cards to pay basic expenses.

The signs of inflation are present in the financial system. It will be getting worse going forward. Smart investors should be preparing now in advance.

For a FREE Special Report on how to protect your portfolio from inflation, swing by

www.gainspainscapital.com

Best Regards

Phoenix Capital Research

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